Prediction Markets

Live odds from Polymarket on the SpaceX (SPCX) IPO and related events.

Data refreshes periodically. Kalshi currently has limited/no major SpaceX IPO markets.

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IPO TIMING

SpaceX IPO by June 30, 202695–99%

Most likely monthJune 2026

Ticker will be SPCX96–98%

VALUATION

IPO valuation $1.75T – $2.5T rangeStrongest probability

Largest IPO of 2026 by market cap80–86%

SpaceX vs Tesla valuation (June 30)SpaceX heavily favored

TESLA × SPACEX MERGER

Merger announced by June 30~3–6%

Merger announced by Dec 31, 2026~35–40%

Prediction markets currently see a full merger as unlikely in the near term.

Live data pulled from Polymarket API. Auto-refreshes every ~90 seconds. Last refreshed: Just now